below please find what ethnic rivalry can lead to.... the guy has a job at uc berk teaching development even ===================================== Pranab Bardhan: BERKELEY: "The media, particularly the financial press, are all agog over the rise of China and India in the international economy " --------- agog over india ???? ----------- " After a long period of relative stagnation these two countries nearly two-fifths of the world population have seen their incomes grow at remarkably high rates over the last two decades" --------- yoke these two as growth twins ... lovely india has a way to go yet pal to be in china's league ----------- "there is no doubt about the great potential of these two economies " ------------- what a blow hard --------------- buuuuuuuuuuut " severe structural and institutional problems will hobble them for years to come" ------------ china's hobbled ???------------ "At this point the hype about the Indian economy seems patently premature" ----------- right so unyoke em from china you tool -------------------------------- "the risks on the horizon for the Chinese polity – and hence for economic stability – are highly underestimated" ------------- by who ??? are u saying the system will crumble ??? ------- "Both China and India are still desperately poor countries" -------------- in part in large part in fact of course that's true .... but shit by that token whats to say we lump the whole globe together and show how it seriously diminishes the signifigance of the advanced countries' achievements -------- " Of the total of 2.3 billion people in these two countries, nearly 1.5 billion earn less than US$2 a day...." ---------- first off ever heard of ppp dope but anyway that leaves roughly 800 million others above the 2 dollar toilers many of whom are already part of a take off economy ie more folksare advancing in china and india then in all of latin america and sub suharan africa combined and in his pole cat way he gestures towards this ....----------------- "of course, the lifting of hundreds of millions of people above poverty in China has been historic " ----------- "historic" full stop no more blither why so tepid ??? alas acoording to this boob that's not something to get agog about --------------- " India is as yet a minor player in world trade contributing less than one percent of world exports" ----- again the yolk ---------------------- "China's share is about 6 percent." ------------- numb nutz what was it a bare ten years ago ---------- ------------------------------------------------------------ ----------- now he turns on his home land --------------- "What about the hordes of Indian software engineers, call-center operators, and back-room programmers supposedly hollowing out white-collar jobs in rich countries? The total number of workers in all possible forms of IT-related jobs in India comes to less than a million workers – one-quarter of one percent of the Indian labor force " ---------- the relevent ratio is not IT to total indian labor force but indian IT to all potentially outsourcible IT jobs WORLD WIDE and again as we used to say whats the delta here the rate of growth in india's IT share ---------------- ------------ " For all its Nobel Prizes and brilliant scholars and professionals India is the largest single-country contributor to the pool of illiterate people in the world" --------- yaaaa ----------------- " Lifting them out of poverty and dead-end menial jobs will remain a Herculean task for decades to come " ------------------ yaaaaaaaaaaaaa ------------------- "Even in China now considered the manufacturing workshop of the world (though China's share in the worldwide manufacturing value-added is below 9 percent less than half that of Japan or the United States)" -------- only 9 % what wa it 15years ago ??? wanna place any bets on her share say in ten years ??? ----------- " less than one-fifth of its labor force is employed in manufacturing, mining, and construction combined" -------- that's going up and already exceeds ours as it goes down ------------. "... Nearly half of the country's labor force remains in agriculture " .----- yes the traditional sector remains huge under employed etc etc etc but that near bottomless pool in both nations far from a drag is their main source of opportunity wave after wave of urban migration will curb wage rates for several decades at least--------- "As per acre productivity growth has stagnated.." ------ not really pal and that's a social policy anyway ---------- " reabsorbing the hundreds of millions of peasants will remain a challenge in the foreseeable future for both countries" ------------- "reabsorbing " what in hell is he trying to conflate here ??? my gues something along these lines as the acre to labor hours ratio improves this will free up millions of hands for other tasks ??? mission get em jobbed as they are spun off the land a hard risky social task but not reason enough to assume protracted economic retardation let alone long term chaos in fact as wages begin to rise the ned for acre yields to rise will collide with the need to increase value added and reduce wage growth the result will be a brake away from food security and large scale importation of grain a move pioneeered on by industrializing england in the middle third of the 19th century ---------- " Domestic private enterprise in China... is relatively weak... " ----------- what ????? this deserves a silent passage by ---------------- "Chinese banks are burdened with "bad" loans..." ------------old news sucker read the paper more often ...--------- "capital is used much less efficiently in China than in India.... " ----------okay see the guys dick here ??? they're growing at 10% bub and financial controls are improving not degrading so what can one make out of that???? improving controls will lead to lower growth or even...a systemic brake down ???? don't u wish shorty pants ------------- ---------------final shot from this unofficial nuncio from world's largest democracy ------------------ "China's authoritarian system of government will likely be a major economic liability.... " ------------ like south korea's and taiwan's and singapore's at similar stages eh ???------------- "China is far behind India in the ability to politically manage conflicts..." ------------ really ???? shall we count the exceptions the punjab kashmir the north east territories not to mention the inter communal violence inside the hindi belt itself directed against the world's largset muslim population ----------- -------------------------------------------- no i shan't go on go to your wallow you chauvinest warthog klown oh per chance are u pro zionist mem-slob ?????Posted by pinky at October 28, 2005 08:26 AM
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