House of Paine

yen yesterday vs yuan tomorrow

 yen to dollar         ten year change 


1971     350
                         - 130  ~ 40%   ( decade long  rise ) 
1981     220
                           - 90  ~ 40%  ( most decline after 85 )
1991     130
                             0         (  range 95 - 130 )
2001     130

  what about the yuans next 30 years ...

can it follow the yen's move
    to  a rough penny equvalence  
           with 
a move to a queer bill equivalent 
                    of under three to one ????


====================================================





today u get 8 yuan  for a  dollar 


looking at ppp calc's

  we're told
  the yuan oughta be maybe 
      under  3 to the dollar 

applying 
a  40% per decade drop 

(if the yen tracks whats possible )

look to  similar 
    twenty year relative
                 dollar   drop process 

give or take
 some turbulence 
created by 
 any number of
        different sets 
              of  
  relative annual inflation rates .....









-------------------------------------

the yen run detailed 

DATE         VALUE
1971-01-01  358.02
1971-02-01  357.55
1971-03-01  357.52
1971-04-01  357.50
1971-05-01  357.41
1971-06-01  357.41
1971-07-01  357.40
1971-08-01  355.78
1971-09-01  338.02
1971-10-01  331.11
1971-11-01  328.75
1971-12-01  320.07
1972-01-01  312.72
1972-02-01  305.19
1972-03-01  302.54
1972-04-01  303.56
1972-05-01  304.38
1972-06-01  302.41
1972-07-01  301.03
1972-08-01  301.16
1972-09-01  301.12
1972-10-01  301.01
1972-11-01  300.99
1972-12-01  301.24
1973-01-01  301.79
1973-02-01  278.42
1973-03-01  261.90
1973-04-01  265.49
1973-05-01  264.65
1973-06-01  264.50
1973-07-01  264.55
1973-08-01  265.22
1973-09-01  265.47
1973-10-01  266.33
1973-11-01  278.26
1973-12-01  280.18
1974-01-01  298.13
1974-02-01  291.09
1974-03-01  282.16
1974-04-01  277.77
1974-05-01  278.97
1974-06-01  282.97
1974-07-01  290.98
1974-08-01  302.28
1974-09-01  299.08
1974-10-01  299.36
1974-11-01  300.08
1974-12-01  300.41
1975-01-01  299.68
1975-02-01  291.66
1975-03-01  287.95
1975-04-01  292.20
1975-05-01  291.43
1975-06-01  293.47
1975-07-01  296.37
1975-08-01  297.98
1975-09-01  299.91
1975-10-01  302.34
1975-11-01  302.55
1975-12-01  305.67
1976-01-01  304.64
1976-02-01  301.59
1976-03-01  300.52
1976-04-01  299.11
1976-05-01  299.00
1976-06-01  299.19
1976-07-01  294.64
1976-08-01  290.63
1976-09-01  287.36
1976-10-01  291.19
1976-11-01  295.17
1976-12-01  294.70
1977-01-01  291.05
1977-02-01  285.02
1977-03-01  280.23
1977-04-01  275.21
1977-05-01  277.43
1977-06-01  272.86
1977-07-01  264.86
1977-08-01  266.68
1977-09-01  266.77
1977-10-01  254.74
1977-11-01  244.70
1977-12-01  241.02
1978-01-01  241.08
1978-02-01  240.37
1978-03-01  231.86
1978-04-01  221.86
1978-05-01  226.18
1978-06-01  214.11
1978-07-01  199.70
1978-08-01  188.71
1978-09-01  189.92
1978-10-01  183.63
1978-11-01  192.14
1978-12-01  195.96
1979-01-01  197.76
1979-02-01  200.51
1979-03-01  206.32
1979-04-01  216.29
1979-05-01  218.41
1979-06-01  218.60
1979-07-01  216.51
1979-08-01  217.93
1979-09-01  222.41
1979-10-01  230.48
1979-11-01  244.98
1979-12-01  240.37
1980-01-01  237.89
1980-02-01  244.35
1980-03-01  248.48
1980-04-01  250.28
1980-05-01  228.63
1980-06-01  217.92
1980-07-01  221.14
1980-08-01  223.91
1980-09-01  214.42
1980-10-01  209.32
1980-11-01  213.11
1980-12-01  209.49
1981-01-01  202.37
1981-02-01  205.72
1981-03-01  208.79
1981-04-01  214.98
1981-05-01  220.63
1981-06-01  224.18
1981-07-01  232.33
1981-08-01  233.33
1981-09-01  229.48
1981-10-01  231.52
1981-11-01  223.13
1981-12-01  218.95
1982-01-01  224.81
1982-02-01  235.31
1982-03-01  241.23
1982-04-01  244.11
1982-05-01  236.96
1982-06-01  251.20
1982-07-01  255.03
1982-08-01  259.05
1982-09-01  263.29
1982-10-01  271.62
1982-11-01  264.09
1982-12-01  241.94
1983-01-01  232.73
1983-02-01  236.12
1983-03-01  238.25
1983-04-01  237.75
1983-05-01  234.76
1983-06-01  240.03
1983-07-01  240.52
1983-08-01  244.46
1983-09-01  242.35
1983-10-01  232.89
1983-11-01  235.03
1983-12-01  234.46
1984-01-01  233.80
1984-02-01  233.60
1984-03-01  225.27
1984-04-01  225.20
1984-05-01  230.48
1984-06-01  233.57
1984-07-01  243.07
1984-08-01  242.26
1984-09-01  245.46
1984-10-01  246.75
1984-11-01  243.63
1984-12-01  247.96
1985-01-01  254.18
1985-02-01  260.48
1985-03-01  257.92
1985-04-01  251.85
1985-05-01  251.73
1985-06-01  248.84
1985-07-01  241.14
1985-08-01  237.46
1985-09-01  236.53
1985-10-01  214.68
1985-11-01  204.07
1985-12-01  202.79
1986-01-01  199.89
1986-02-01  184.85
1986-03-01  178.69
1986-04-01  175.09
1986-05-01  167.03
1986-06-01  167.54
1986-07-01  158.61
1986-08-01  154.18
1986-09-01  154.73
1986-10-01  156.47
1986-11-01  162.85
1986-12-01  162.05
1987-01-01  154.83
1987-02-01  153.41
1987-03-01  151.43
1987-04-01  142.90
1987-05-01  140.48
1987-06-01  144.55
1987-07-01  150.29
1987-08-01  147.33
1987-09-01  143.29
1987-10-01  143.32
1987-11-01  135.40
1987-12-01  128.24
1988-01-01  127.69
1988-02-01  129.17
1988-03-01  127.11
1988-04-01  124.90
1988-05-01  124.79
1988-06-01  127.47
1988-07-01  133.02
1988-08-01  133.77
1988-09-01  134.32
1988-10-01  128.68
1988-11-01  123.20
1988-12-01  123.61
1989-01-01  127.36
1989-02-01  127.74
1989-03-01  130.55
1989-04-01  132.04
1989-05-01  137.86
1989-06-01  143.98
1989-07-01  140.42
1989-08-01  141.49
1989-09-01  145.07
1989-10-01  142.21
1989-11-01  143.53
1989-12-01  143.69
1990-01-01  144.98
1990-02-01  145.69
1990-03-01  153.31
1990-04-01  158.46
1990-05-01  154.04
1990-06-01  153.70
1990-07-01  149.04
1990-08-01  147.46
1990-09-01  138.44
1990-10-01  129.59
1990-11-01  129.22
1990-12-01  133.89
1991-01-01  133.70
1991-02-01  130.54
1991-03-01  137.39
1991-04-01  137.11
1991-05-01  138.22
1991-06-01  139.75
1991-07-01  137.83
1991-08-01  136.82
1991-09-01  134.30
1991-10-01  130.77
1991-11-01  129.63
1991-12-01  128.04
1992-01-01  125.46
1992-02-01  127.70
1992-03-01  132.86
1992-04-01  133.54
1992-05-01  130.77
1992-06-01  126.84
1992-07-01  125.88
1992-08-01  126.23
1992-09-01  122.60
1992-10-01  121.17
1992-11-01  123.88
1992-12-01  124.04
1993-01-01  124.99
1993-02-01  120.76
1993-03-01  117.02
1993-04-01  112.41
1993-05-01  110.34
1993-06-01  107.41
1993-07-01  107.69
1993-08-01  103.77
1993-09-01  105.57
1993-10-01  107.02
1993-11-01  107.88
1993-12-01  109.91
1994-01-01  111.44
1994-02-01  106.30
1994-03-01  105.10
1994-04-01  103.48
1994-05-01  103.75
1994-06-01  102.53
1994-07-01   98.45
1994-08-01   99.94
1994-09-01   98.77
1994-10-01   98.35
1994-11-01   98.04
1994-12-01  100.18
1995-01-01   99.77
1995-02-01   98.24
1995-03-01   90.52
1995-04-01   83.69
1995-05-01   85.11
1995-06-01   84.64
1995-07-01   87.40
1995-08-01   94.74
1995-09-01  100.55
1995-10-01  100.84
1995-11-01  101.94
1995-12-01  101.85
1996-01-01  105.75
1996-02-01  105.79
1996-03-01  105.94
1996-04-01  107.20
1996-05-01  106.34
1996-06-01  108.96
1996-07-01  109.19
1996-08-01  107.87
1996-09-01  109.93
1996-10-01  112.41
1996-11-01  112.30
1996-12-01  113.98
1997-01-01  117.91
1997-02-01  122.96
1997-03-01  122.77
1997-04-01  125.64
1997-05-01  119.19
1997-06-01  114.29
1997-07-01  115.38
1997-08-01  117.93
1997-09-01  120.89
1997-10-01  121.06
1997-11-01  125.38
1997-12-01  129.73
1998-01-01  129.55
1998-02-01  125.85
1998-03-01  129.08
1998-04-01  131.75
1998-05-01  134.90
1998-06-01  140.33
1998-07-01  140.79
1998-08-01  144.68
1998-09-01  134.48
1998-10-01  121.05
1998-11-01  120.29
1998-12-01  117.07
1999-01-01  113.29
1999-02-01  116.67
1999-03-01  119.47
1999-04-01  119.77
1999-05-01  122.00
1999-06-01  120.72
1999-07-01  119.33
1999-08-01  113.23
1999-09-01  106.88
1999-10-01  105.97
1999-11-01  104.65
1999-12-01  102.58
2000-01-01  105.30
2000-02-01  109.39
2000-03-01  106.31
2000-04-01  105.63
2000-05-01  108.32
2000-06-01  106.13
2000-07-01  108.21
2000-08-01  108.08
2000-09-01  106.84
2000-10-01  108.44
2000-11-01  109.01
2000-12-01  112.21
2001-01-01  116.67
2001-02-01  116.23
2001-03-01  121.51
2001-04-01  123.77
2001-05-01  121.77
2001-06-01  122.35
2001-07-01  124.50
2001-08-01  121.37
2001-09-01  118.61
2001-10-01  121.45
2001-11-01  122.41
2001-12-01  127.59
2002-01-01  132.68
2002-02-01  133.64
2002-03-01  131.06
2002-04-01  130.77
2002-05-01  126.38
2002-06-01  123.29
2002-07-01  117.90
2002-08-01  118.99
2002-09-01  121.08
2002-10-01  123.91
2002-11-01  121.61
2002-12-01  121.89
2003-01-01  118.81
2003-02-01  119.34
2003-03-01  118.69
2003-04-01  119.90
2003-05-01  117.37
2003-06-01  118.33
2003-07-01  118.70
2003-08-01  118.66
2003-09-01  114.80
2003-10-01  109.50
2003-11-01  109.18
2003-12-01  107.74
2004-01-01  106.27
2004-02-01  106.71
2004-03-01  108.52
2004-04-01  107.66
2004-05-01  112.20
2004-06-01  109.43
2004-07-01  109.49
2004-08-01  110.23
2004-09-01  110.09
2004-10-01  108.78
2004-11-01  104.70
2004-12-01  103.81
2005-01-01  103.34
2005-02-01  104.94
2005-03-01  105.25
2005-04-01  107.19
2005-05-01  106.60
2005-06-01  108.75
2005-07-01  111.95
2005-08-01  110.61