here below find
a recent
greenscum
boney rendering
of a stylized story
of
asset price dynamics :
=============================================
green thang:
"after a protracted period
of low risk premiums "
---------risk premium?
the compensation
for possible loses
(ie risk baring)
"the market" demands
as part of
the expected
" total return"
of an asset ---------------
"Any onset
of increased investor caution
elevates risk premiums
and, as a consequence,
lowers asset values "
--------then this
"promotes"
tah tah.... -------------------
"the liquidation
of the debt
that supported
these higher asset prices"
------- ie
we crediteers
pumped it up
now we'll drain it out----------
----------
ah how these mellon-omas
love the words
"liquidation of debts"
comrades
only one "liquidation"
rings sweeter to cleo ....
tah tah taaaaaaaah --------------------
------- back to soilent green spill
after the risk premium
riseth
then cometh....
well
the understated
ultra murky
threat ...-----------------
" history has not dealt
kindly
with the aftermath
of protracted periods
of low risk premiums"
oh by the way
greeny
calls the 90's
and even the 00's
a period of....
"protracted periods
of low risk premiums
with consequent rising prices
have passed
like giant waves
thru one asset type
after another
most recently...
the familly home "
-----------
so whats this about?
what else
once filtered thru the press amps
a tale of future
horrors at hearthside
ain't
it all about
keeping small fry scared ?
and
after all
this is the guy
who claimed
wage increases
were moderated
in the late 90's
by "increased
fear of the sack ......"
his source :
two surveys
one in 82 and another in 97
sack fears had risen
from 18%
of responders
to 37%
"okay boys lets see
if we can get that number
up over
50% ..."
Posted by pinky at August 27, 2005 08:08 AM
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